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Loughgall vs Warrenpoint

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026 Lakeview Park, Loughgall
Loughgall Logo

Loughgall

1 - 0
FT
Warrenpoint Logo

Warrenpoint

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Loughgall in this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loughgall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Loughgall
20%
Draws
22%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Loughgall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Loughgall have won more games recently than Warrenpoint.
  • Win probability leans Loughgall's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 20%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughgall Warrenpoint
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Warrenpoint
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Loughgall
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Warrenpoint
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Warrenpoint
1:2
Feb 14, 2023 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Loughgall
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughgall 85 / 100
Warrenpoint 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughgall Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loughgall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loughgall scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Warrenpoint's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Loughgall has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Loughgall VS Warrenpoint
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughgall

(Home)
15 Aug
Institute
0 : 0
Loughgall
11 Aug
Loughgall
2 : 2
Newington FC
08 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 3
Loughgall
24 Jul
Dollingstown
0 : 3
Loughgall
21 Jul
Loughgall
1 : 4
Dungannon
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Warrenpoint

(Away)
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Warrenpoint
21 Jul
Cliftonville
2 : 1
Warrenpoint
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Limavady 33 21 8 4 61:32 71
2 Annagh 33 22 5 6 54:27 71
3 Harland & Wolff 33 17 8 8 77:41 59
4 Newington FC 33 15 6 12 69:52 51
5 Loughgall 33 13 12 8 46:34 51
6 Queens University 33 12 11 10 43:42 47
7 Institute 33 13 7 13 47:43 46
8 Ards 33 12 7 14 50:46 43
9 Warrenpoint 33 10 6 17 44:50 36
10 Ballinamallard 33 8 10 15 36:52 34
11 Dundela 33 3 11 19 37:73 20
12 Armagh 33 4 5 24 28:100 17
Promotion - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)