Sport Picks

USA

USL Championship 2019

Louisville City

0 - 1

Bethlehem Steel FC

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Cortes W.

45'

Craig P.

46'

Sub

Moumbagna F. In: Picazo A.

Out: Moumbagna F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship 2019 game between Louisville City and Bethlehem Steel FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bethlehem Steel FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Louisville City

Draws

Bethlehem Steel FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Louisville City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Louisville City carry the better recent record into this one.
Louisville City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Louisville City Clean Sheet 20%

Bethlehem Steel FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Louisville City	Bethlehem Steel FC
Matches Played	43	30
Wins	25	7
Draws	7	6
Losses	11	17
Goals Scored	1.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2019 USL Championship

Louisville City vs Bethlehem Steel FC

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

May 26, 2019 USL Championship

Bethlehem Steel FC vs Louisville City

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Oct 27, 2018 USL Championship

Louisville City vs Bethlehem Steel FC

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Jun 9, 2018 USL Championship

Bethlehem Steel FC vs Louisville City

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Apr 28, 2018 USL Championship

Louisville City vs Bethlehem Steel FC

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Louisville City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Bethlehem Steel FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louisville City 85 / 100

Bethlehem Steel FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Louisville City Bethlehem Steel FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Louisville City scored in 84% of their last 43 outings.

Bethlehem Steel FC has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Louisville City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Louisville City VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	34	19	11	4	58:30	68
2	Nashville SC	34	20	7	7	59:26	67
3	Indy Eleven	34	19	6	9	48:29	63
4	Louisville City	34	17	9	8	58:41	60
5	Tampa Bay	34	16	10	8	61:33	58
6	New York Red Bulls II	34	17	6	11	74:51	57
7	North Carolina FC	34	16	8	10	57:37	56
8	Ottawa Fury	34	14	10	10	50:43	52
9	Charleston	34	11	13	10	44:44	46
10	Birmingham Legion	34	12	7	15	35:51	43
11	St. Louis FC	34	11	9	14	40:41	42
12	Loudoun United	34	11	6	17	59:65	39
13	Charlotte Independence	34	9	11	14	42:53	38
14	Atlanta United 2	34	9	8	17	45:77	35
15	Memphis 901	34	9	7	18	37:52	34
16	Bethlehem Steel FC	34	8	7	19	49:78	31
17	Hartford Athletic	34	8	5	21	49:80	29
18	Sporting Kansas City II	34	6	8	20	46:80	26

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Phoenix Rising	34	24	6	4	89:36	78
2	Reno 1868	34	18	6	10	72:51	60
3	Monterey Bay	34	16	9	9	58:44	57
4	Real Monarchs	34	16	8	10	71:53	56
5	Orange County SC	34	15	9	10	54:43	54
6	El Paso Locomotive	34	13	11	10	42:36	50
7	Sacramento Republic	34	14	6	14	50:43	48
8	Austin Bold	34	13	9	12	53:52	48
9	Ventura County	34	12	12	10	59:62	48
10	New Mexico	34	11	13	10	59:57	46
11	San Antonio FC	34	12	9	13	62:57	45
12	Rio Grande Valley FC Toros	34	11	8	15	50:58	41
13	Las Vegas Lights	34	11	8	15	46:56	41
14	Portland Timbers 2	34	10	8	16	65:71	38
15	Oklahoma City Energy FC	34	9	11	14	45:58	38
16	FC Tulsa	34	8	10	16	45:69	34
17	Tacoma Defiance	34	8	7	19	42:82	31
18	Colorado Springs	34	7	6	21	31:65	27