Sport Picks
Louisville City vs Memphis 901
USA
USL Championship 2024 Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY 
Match Events
14'
14'
Bruno Lapa
Assist: Careaga S.
18'
18'
Bruno Lapa
Assist: Careaga S.
25'
25'
Harris W.
Assist: Davila T.
AI Match Summary
Louisville City in this USL Championship 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Louisville City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Louisville City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Louisville City have won more games recently than Memphis 901.
- Louisville City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 18%
Memphis 901 Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Louisville City | Memphis 901 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2024 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Memphis 901
4:2
Oct 21, 2023 USL Championship
Memphis 901 vs Louisville City
1:2
Jun 11, 2023 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Memphis 901
1:3
Apr 30, 2023 USL Championship
Memphis 901 vs Louisville City
1:1
Sep 24, 2022 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Memphis 901
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Louisville City Compare
Top Goalscorer Davila T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Harris W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Memphis 901 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruno Lapa
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Louisville City 49 / 100
Memphis 901 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Louisville City Memphis 901
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Louisville City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Memphis 901 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Louisville City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Louisville City VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Louisville City
(Home) 18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
14 Jun
Louisville City
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 8
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
14 Jun
Louisville City
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
30 May
Louisville City
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
09 May
Louisville City
0 : 2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 4
Memphis 901
(Away) 02 Nov
Memphis 901
0 : 1 Orange County SC
27 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 3 Memphis 901
20 Oct
Phoenix Rising
0 : 1 Memphis 901
13 Oct
Memphis 901
0 : 0 Sacramento Republic
06 Oct
Memphis 901
1 : 1 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 3 Memphis 901
20 Oct
Phoenix Rising
0 : 1 Memphis 901
28 Sept
Louisville City
4 : 2 Memphis 901
29 Aug
Colorado Springs
3 : 1 Memphis 901
25 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Memphis 901
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 86:43 | 76 |
| 2 | Charleston | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 68:35 | 64 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 56 |
| 4 | Indy Eleven | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 49:50 | 51 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 34 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Tampa Bay | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 55:46 | 50 |
| 7 | North Carolina FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54:43 | 48 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Birmingham Legion | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:51 | 45 |
| 10 | Hartford Athletic | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:52 | 44 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:39 | 42 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 34 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 26:89 | 11 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:44 | 59 |
| 2 | Colorado Springs | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 48:40 | 52 |
| 3 | Memphis 901 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 52:41 | 51 |
| 4 | Las Vegas Lights | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:46 | 50 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:45 | 46 |
| 7 | Oakland Roots | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 37:57 | 44 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:39 | 42 |
| 9 | San Antonio FC | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 36:49 | 39 |
| 10 | FC Tulsa | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:48 | 38 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 29:44 | 34 |
| 12 | El Paso Locomotive | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:46 | 32 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2024 (Play Offs)