Sport Picks
Louisville City vs North Carolina FC
USA
USL Cup 2025 Lynn Family Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The USL Cup 2025 game between Louisville City and North Carolina FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louisville City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Louisville City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Louisville City a 90% chance of winning this.
- It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal USL Cup 2025 game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Louisville City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Louisville City | North Carolina FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Louisville City Compare
North Carolina FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Louisville City's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Louisville City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
North Carolina FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | AV Alta FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 5 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Union Omaha | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 7 | Texoma FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 11 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 4 |
| 5 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Loudoun United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | North Carolina FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Lexington | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:11 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 3 | South Georgia Tormenta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Charleston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 6 | FC Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |