Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Totsch S.
12'
12'
Fall W.
Penalty Missed
18'
18'
Lancaster C.
Assist: Hoppenot A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Louisville City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Louisville City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- St. Louis FC haven't matched Louisville City's recent run of results.
- Louisville City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Louisville City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Louisville City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 19%
St. Louis FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Louisville City | St. Louis FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 17 |
| Wins | 20 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2020 USL Championship
Louisville City vs St. Louis FC
2:0
Sep 27, 2020 USL Championship
St. Louis FC vs Louisville City
0:1
Sep 12, 2020 USL Championship
Louisville City vs St. Louis FC
3:0
Aug 30, 2020 USL Championship
St. Louis FC vs Louisville City
1:1
Jul 19, 2020 USL Championship
Louisville City vs St. Louis FC
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Louisville City Compare
Top Goalscorer Lancaster C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
St. Louis FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Louisville City 40 / 100
St. Louis FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Louisville City St. Louis FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Louisville City scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.
St. Louis FC has conceded goals in 82% of their last 17 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Louisville City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Louisville City VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Louisville City
(Home) 26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Trinidad & Tobago
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Trinidad & Tobago
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
14 Jun
Louisville City
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
30 May
Louisville City
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 4
St. Louis FC
(Away) 17 Oct
Louisville City
2 : 0 St. Louis FC
10 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 St. Louis FC
03 Oct
St. Louis FC
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
27 Sept
St. Louis FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
23 Sept
Indy Eleven
1 : 1 St. Louis FC
Page 1 of 4
17 Oct
Louisville City
2 : 0 St. Louis FC
10 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 St. Louis FC
23 Sept
Indy Eleven
1 : 1 St. Louis FC
12 Sept
Louisville City
3 : 0 St. Louis FC
22 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 2 St. Louis FC
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Louisville City2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0
Hartford Athletic0
St. Louis FC1
Charlotte Independence1
Charleston2
Tampa Bay4
Birmingham Legion2
Reno 18684
Ventura County1
Phoenix Rising1
Sacramento Republic0
El Paso Locomotive3
FC Tulsa2
San Antonio FC0
New Mexico1
Quarter-finals
Louisville City2
St. Louis FC0
Charleston0
Tampa Bay1
Reno 18682
Phoenix Rising3
El Paso Locomotive2
New Mexico1
Semi-finals
Louisville City1
Tampa Bay2
Phoenix Rising2
El Paso Locomotive1
Final
Tampa Bay-
Phoenix Rising-