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Louletano vs Aljustrelense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Louletano Logo

Louletano

2 - 0
FT
Aljustrelense Logo

Aljustrelense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group H game between Louletano and Aljustrelense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Louletano
35%
Draws
26%
Aljustrelense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Louletano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Louletano's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louletano Aljustrelense
Matches Played 39 25
Wins 21 7
Draws 11 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.56 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Louletano
1:2
Dec 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Louletano vs Aljustrelense
2:0
Mar 15, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Aljustrelense
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Aljustrelense vs Louletano
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Louletano
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louletano 86 / 100
Aljustrelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louletano Aljustrelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Louletano scored in 79% of their last 39 outings.

Aljustrelense let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Louletano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Louletano VS Aljustrelense
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Louletano

(Home)
15 Aug
Louletano
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
08 Aug
Oliveirense
0 : 0
Louletano
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1
Louletano
23 May
Louletano
2 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1
Malveira
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Aljustrelense

(Away)
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
10 Apr
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
03 Apr
Aljustrelense
2 : 1
Moura AC
14 Mar
Aljustrelense
1 : 2
Louletano
07 Mar
Amora
5 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 20 15 5 0 49:20 50
2 Amora 20 13 5 2 34:13 44
3 Olhanense 20 10 5 5 27:17 35
4 Louletano 20 8 10 2 30:18 34
5 Moncarapachense 20 6 7 7 22:21 25
6 Pinhalnovense 20 7 4 9 26:30 25
7 Juv. Evora 20 6 6 8 27:36 24
8 Esperanca de Lagos 20 6 5 9 25:26 23
9 Lusitano GC 20 6 5 9 19:23 23
10 Aljustrelense 20 4 2 14 12:41 14
11 Moura AC 20 0 4 16 17:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)