Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2017/2018

Louletano

Sun, Sep 3, 2017

2 - 1

04:00 PM

Castrense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Louletano in this Taça de Portugal 2017/2018 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Louletano

15%

Draws

20%

Castrense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Louletano lately — more wins on the board than Castrense.
Louletano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Louletano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Louletano, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Louletano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Louletano Clean Sheet 20%

Castrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Louletano	Castrense
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	17	5
Draws	9	9
Losses	5	16
Goals Scored	1.45	0.8
Goals Conceded	0.71	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Castrense vs Louletano

0:1

Apr 8, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E

Louletano vs Castrense

4:1

Dec 10, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E

Castrense vs Louletano

0:0

Sep 3, 2017 Taça de Portugal

Louletano vs Castrense

2:1

Apr 17, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H

Louletano vs Castrense

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louletano 85 / 100

Castrense 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Louletano Castrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louletano's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Castrense has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Louletano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Louletano VS Castrense

2.25 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Louletano

(Home)

06 Sept

Louletano

1 : 0

Lusitano GC

30 Aug

Castrense

0 : 1

Louletano

23 Aug

Caldas SC

2 : 4

Louletano

15 Aug

Louletano

1 : 3

CF Os Belenenses

08 Aug

Oliveirense

0 : 0

Louletano

Page 1 of 7

Castrense

(Away)

30 Aug

Castrense

0 : 1

Louletano

20 Sept

Castrense

0 : 5

Lusitania FC

31 Aug

Castrense

1 : 0

CDR Quarteirense

22 Sept

Moura AC

4 : 2

Castrense

24 Sept

Castrense

0 : 3

Vila Mea

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Moreirense -

TBD -

GD Resende 1

Lamego 0

Uniao Lamas 2

Canelas 2010 3

Operario 2

Charneca Caparica 0

Recreativo Canaviais 1

Guadalupe 4

Pedras Salgadas 2

CDC Montalegre 0

Machico 0

FC Felgueiras 4

Chaves -

TBD -

Electrico FC 3

Mosteirense 0

Macao 0

Fatima 4

BSAD -

TBD -

Gondomar 3

Regua 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Aguia Vimioso 1

Desportivo Moncao 0

TBD -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 1

Lusitano FCV 4

TBD -

Feirense -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

Ferreiras 2

Moura AC 5

Lusitano GC 3

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

GD Coruchense 2

Pero Pinheiro 5

TBD -

FC Porto -

Cova De Piedade -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos 3

Minas de Argozelo 5

Pedras Rubras 3

Camacha 1

Agueda 0

Anadia 1

Amarante FC 1

AD Fafe 0

TBD -

Varzim -

Almodovar 5

CDR Quarteirense 2

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Sporting Ideal 3

AD Oliveirense 5

Sendim 0

Vilafranquense 1

Mafra 2

Mortagua FC 5

Figueirense 1

GS Loures 1

Torreense 2

GD Uniao Torcatense 2

Esposende 1

Oriental 1

Lusitano VRSA 2

TBD -

Maritimo -

Vilaverdense FC 2

GD Braganca 0

Tocha 1

Esmoriz 2

TBD -

Boavista -

Sintrense 2

FC Crato 1

Aroes 0

Trofense 1

Covilha -

TBD -

Mondinense 0

Vizela 3

Famalicao -

TBD -

Rio Tinto 0

Coimbroes 1

SC Salgueiros 3

Cinfaes 2

FC Flamengos 0

Alta Lisboa 4

Oleiros 1

Alcanenense 0

Paredes 0

Sousense 2

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

FC Crato -

TBD -

SC Sabugal 2

Sanjoanense 3

Sao Martinho 2

SC Vila Real 1

Riachense 0

UC Idanhense 2

TBD -

Braga -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Leiria e Marrazes -

TBD -

Pinhalnovense -

Olhanense 3

Almancilense 1

TBD -

Lamego -

TBD -

Benfica -

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Sertanense -

Marinhense 2

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Oriental -

Gafanha 1

Nogueirense 0

TBD -

SC Lourinhanense -

Maria de Fonte 2

SC Mirandela 1

Camara de Lobos 0

Freamunde 2

Leiria 3

GD Sourense 0

Leiria e Marrazes 1

SB Castelo Branco 5

Moncarapachense 1

Armacenenses 0

Alianca de Gandra 0

SC Espinho 1

SC Vila Real -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Aves -

Caldas SC 2

SC Lourinhanense 0

SC Lusitania 0

Montijo 3

Aguias do Moradal 2

Alcains 1

Ferreira de Aves 0

FC Cesarense 1

GD Coruchense -

TBD -

Mondinense -

Sacavenense 2

1º Dezembro 0

TBD -

Arouca -

Nacional -

TBD -

SC Pombal 0

Condeixa 3

Real SC -

TBD -

Cerveira 1

Merelinense 3

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

SC Mirandela -

TBD -

Academica -

SC Praiense 4

Vale Formoso 1

Castrense 1

Louletano 2

GD Braganca -

TBD -

Alcains -

Casa Pia 2

Pinhalnovense 0

TBD -

Recreativo Canaviais -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Leixoes -

TBD -

GD Sourense -

TBD -

Tondela -

Estoril -

TBD -

Amora 3

Vitoria FC Pico 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 1

SC Farense 7

1/64-finals

Moreirense -

TBD -

GD Resende 0

Canelas 2010 3

Operario 3

Guadalupe 2

Pedras Salgadas 1

FC Felgueiras 2

Chaves -

TBD -

Electrico FC 2

Fatima 4

BSAD -

TBD -

Gondomar 0

Santa Clara 1

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Aguia Vimioso 2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 3

Academico Viseu 1

Lusitano FCV 0

TBD -

Feirense -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente 0

Moura AC 1

Lusitano GC 4

Pero Pinheiro 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

Cova De Piedade 4

Minas de Argozelo 0

Pedras Rubras 0

Anadia 4

Amarante FC 1

Varzim 0

Almodovar 0

Sporting Ideal 1

AD Oliveirense 2

Mafra 1

Mortagua FC 0

Torreense 2

GD Uniao Torcatense 2

Lusitano VRSA 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Vilaverdense FC 1

Esmoriz 0

TBD -

Boavista -

Sintrense 1

Trofense 0

Covilha 1

Vizela 2

Famalicao 3

Coimbroes 1

SC Salgueiros 2

Alta Lisboa 3

Oleiros 3

Sousense 0

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

FC Crato 0

Sanjoanense 3

Sao Martinho 4

UC Idanhense 0

TBD -

Braga -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Leiria e Marrazes 0

Pinhalnovense 4

Olhanense 4

Lamego 1

TBD -

Benfica -

U. Madeira 2

Sertanense 0

Marinhense 0

Oriental 1

Gafanha 3

SC Lourinhanense 2

Maria de Fonte 2

Freamunde 4

Leiria 2

SB Castelo Branco 0

Moncarapachense 0

SC Espinho 1

SC Vila Real 1

Oliveirense 0

TBD -

Aves -

Caldas SC 1

Montijo 0

Aguias do Moradal 2

FC Cesarense 3

GD Coruchense 5

Mondinense 2

Sacavenense 0

Arouca 1

Nacional 3

Condeixa 1

Real SC 1

Merelinense 3

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

SC Mirandela 1

Academica 2

SC Praiense 2

Louletano 0

GD Braganca 1

Alcains 2

Casa Pia 5

Recreativo Canaviais 0

Penafiel 0

Vilafranquense 1

Leixoes 2

GD Sourense 0

TBD -

Tondela -

Estoril -

TBD -

Amora 2

SC Farense 3

1/32-finals

Moreirense 3

Canelas 2010 1

Operario 2

FC Felgueiras 4

Chaves 3

Fatima 0

BSAD 1

Santa Clara 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 6

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

Academico Viseu 0

Feirense 1

Portimonense 1

Moura AC 0

Lusitano GC 0

FC Porto 6

Cova De Piedade 2

Anadia 1

Amarante FC 1

Sporting Ideal 2

AD Oliveirense 1

Torreense 0

GD Uniao Torcatense 0

Maritimo 1

Vilaverdense FC 1

Boavista 0

Sintrense 1

Vizela 3

Famalicao 2

Alta Lisboa 0

Oleiros 2

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 4

Sanjoanense 0

Sao Martinho 2

Braga 3

Vitoria Setubal 2

Pinhalnovense 1

Olhanense 0

Benfica 1

U. Madeira 3

Oriental 2

Gafanha 0

Freamunde 1

Leiria 2

SC Espinho 0

SC Vila Real 0

Aves 1

Caldas SC 2

FC Cesarense 1

GD Coruchense 0

Arouca 3

Nacional 4

Merelinense 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Academica 2

SC Praiense 4

Alcains 1

Casa Pia 1

Vilafranquense 2

Leixoes 3

Tondela 2

Estoril 0

SC Farense 1

1/16-finals

Moreirense 5

FC Felgueiras 2

Chaves 0

Santa Clara 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Feirense 1

Portimonense 2

FC Porto 3

Cova De Piedade 4

Sporting Ideal 1

AD Oliveirense 2

Maritimo 3

Vilaverdense FC 3

Vizela 2

Famalicao 0

Sporting CP 2

Rio Ave 1

Braga 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

Benfica 2

U. Madeira 4

Freamunde 2

Leiria 0

Aves 3

Caldas SC 2

Arouca 1

Nacional 0

Academica 1

SC Praiense 3

Vilafranquense 2

Leixoes 1

SC Farense 2

1/8-finals

Moreirense 3

Santa Clara 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

FC Porto 4

Cova De Piedade 1

Maritimo 0

Vilaverdense FC 0

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 3

Benfica 2

U. Madeira 1

Aves 5

Caldas SC 2

Academica 1

SC Praiense 0

SC Farense 1

Quarter-finals

Moreirense 1

FC Porto 2

Cova De Piedade 1

Sporting CP 2

Rio Ave 4

Aves 5

Caldas SC 3

SC Farense 2

Semi-finals

FC Porto 1

Sporting CP 2

Aves 3

Caldas SC 1

Final

Sporting CP 1

Aves 2

Louletano vs Castrense

Portugal

Louletano

Castrense

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Louletano

Castrense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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