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Louny vs Modlany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP
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AI Match Summary

The Ustecky KP game between Louny and Modlany finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louny.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Louny
15%
Draws
32%
Modlany
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Modlany carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Louny taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Louny have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Louny Clean Sheet 17%
Modlany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louny Modlany
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.35 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Ustecky KP
Louny vs Modlany
3:2
Mar 9, 2025 Ustecky KP
Louny vs Modlany
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Ustecky KP
Modlany vs Louny
1:3
Mar 10, 2019 Ustecky KP
Louny vs Modlany
6:1
Aug 11, 2018 Ustecky KP
Modlany vs Louny
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louny 66 / 100
Modlany 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louny Modlany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louny Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louny's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Modlany has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Louny went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Louny VS Modlany
3.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Louny

(Home)
03 Oct
Horni Jiretin
1 : 1
Louny
26 Sept
Louny
3 : 2
Modlany
19 Sept
Nestemice
0 : 2
Louny
13 Sept
Louny
4 : 5
Junior Decin
06 Sept
Louny
3 : 0
Probostov
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Modlany

(Away)
03 Oct
Modlany
4 : 1
Junior Decin
26 Sept
Louny
3 : 2
Modlany
19 Sept
Modlany
2 : 1
Ledvice
12 Sept
Zatec
2 : 0
Modlany
04 Sept
Modlany
1 : 2
Litomericko
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