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Lovcen vs Rudar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vlahovic A.
35' Event
Guilherme
38' Event
Guilherme

AI Match Summary

Rudar in this Druga Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rudar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lovcen
15%
Draws
37%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lovcen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lovcen lately — more wins on the board than Rudar.
  • Lovcen are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Druga Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lovcen Clean Sheet 14%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lovcen Rudar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Druga Liga
Lovcen vs Rudar
2:4
May 10, 2026 Druga Liga
Rudar vs Lovcen
1:2
Mar 18, 2026 Druga Liga
Lovcen vs Rudar
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Druga Liga
Rudar vs Lovcen
7:0
Sep 14, 2025 Druga Liga
Lovcen vs Rudar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lovcen Compare

Top Goalscorer Vlahovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djordjevic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rudar Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Guimaraes
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lovcen 41 / 100
Rudar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lovcen Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Lovcen's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rudar let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Lovcen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lovcen VS Rudar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lovcen

(Home)
09 Oct
Lovcen
2 : 0
Jedinstvo
06 Oct
FK Podgorica
2 : 1
Lovcen
30 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
Lovcen
26 Sept
Lovcen
0 : 1
Zeta
20 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
0 : 2
Lovcen
Page 1 of 6

Rudar

(Away)
06 Oct
Iskra Danilovgrad
1 : 0
Rudar
30 Sept
Rudar
4 : 0
Berane
26 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 1
Rudar
20 Sept
Rudar
1 : 1
Kom Podgorica
16 Sept
Lovcen
2 : 4
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Podgorica 10 5 5 0 18:11 20
2 Jedinstvo 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
3 Zeta 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
4 Grbalj 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
5 Lovcen 11 5 1 5 16:18 16
6 Iskra Danilovgrad 10 4 1 5 6:9 13
7 Kom Podgorica 9 3 3 3 11:9 12
8 Rudar 10 3 3 4 14:15 12
9 Budva 11 2 4 5 14:15 10
10 Berane 10 0 2 8 6:20 2
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Relegation)