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Lozova vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Grebenyuk K.

AI Match Summary

Lozova in this Druha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lozova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Lozova
15%
Draws
7%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lozova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Lozova average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Penuel Kryvyi Rih's 0.79.
  • Model gives Lozova a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lozova Clean Sheet 68%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lozova Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 4 4
Draws 1 7
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Druha Liga
Lozova vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lozova Compare

Top Goalscorer Grebenyuk K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Penuel Kryvyi Rih Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lozova 95 / 100
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lozova Penuel Kryvyi Rih

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lozova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penuel Kryvyi Rih's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lozova scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Recent resilience: Lozova stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Penuel Kryvyi Rih registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lozova VS Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lozova

(Home)
03 Oct
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2
Lozova
26 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Lozova
13 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
04 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
1 : 0
Lozova
Page 1 of 2

Penuel Kryvyi Rih

(Away)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
26 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
21 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 3
Trostyanets
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
30 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
3 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 25:8 23
2 Dnister Zalishchyky 9 5 2 2 17:13 17
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)