Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LPS vs Keski-Uusimaa

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2025 Saari Areena, Laajasalo
Tue, Apr 15, 2025
2 - 1
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Simonen M.
20' Event
Romppanen S.
1' Event
Avdi E.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

LPS in this Suomen Cup 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
LPS
20%
Draws
46%
Keski-Uusimaa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • LPS haven't matched Keski-Uusimaa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Keski-Uusimaa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Keski-Uusimaa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor LPS, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
LPS Clean Sheet 20%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LPS Keski-Uusimaa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 15
Draws 2 8
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.84
Goals Conceded 3.67 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2025 Suomen Cup
LPS vs Keski-Uusimaa
2:1
Sep 1, 2018 Kakkonen Group A
Keski-Uusimaa vs LPS
3:2
Jun 15, 2018 Kakkonen Group A
LPS vs Keski-Uusimaa
0:3
Jul 28, 2010 Kakkonen Group A
LPS vs Keski-Uusimaa
3:2
Jul 14, 2010 Kakkonen Group A
Keski-Uusimaa vs LPS
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Romppanen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LPS 10 / 100
Keski-Uusimaa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LPS Keski-Uusimaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Keski-Uusimaa conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

LPS scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: LPS stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Keski-Uusimaa
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LPS

(Home)
06 May
LPS
0 : 1
Mariehamn
15 Apr
LPS
2 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa
09 May
LPS
0 : 5
Mariehamn
24 Apr
LPS
4 : 0
EPS 2
26 Apr
LPS
1 : 3
JaPS
Page 1 of 6

Keski-Uusimaa

(Away)
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
Tampere Utd
3 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
21 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa
2 : 2
JJK Jyvaskyla
16 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
2 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Gilla FC 2
Valtti 1
KelA Akatemia 0
Klubi 04 10
EsPa 2 0
EsPa 6
Malmin Ponnistajat 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 4
LPS 2
Keski-Uusimaa 1
GrIFK 1
Mariehamn 2
MuSa 3
Ilves 2 5
Tampere Utd 0
TPS 3
PoPo 2
Edustus IPS 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
JJK Jyvaskyla 3
Lahden Reipas 2
Lahti 1
Soho 0
Mikkelin 3
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JaPS Akatemia 0
Kiffen 5
FC Futura 0
JaPS 7
Santa Claus 1
JS Hercules 4
PonPa 1
AC Oulu 3
VJS 2
EPS 0
Toukolan Teras 2
NJS 3
NuPS 0
HJS 2
Julkis- ja yksityisalojen 1
SalPa 2
ToBK 1
Poxyt 2
TiPS 0
PK-35 6
SJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EPS 2 1
Atlantis 4
HPS 0
KaPa 4
VPV 0
KPV Kokkola 10
JBK 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
MuurY 0
Jippo 6
Lahti/69 1
KTP 5
Huima / Urho 4
LAUTP 0
ToU 0
Haka 8
KeuPa 1
Union Plaani 2
Vaajakoski 4
PEPO 2
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 2 2
Gnistan/M35 0
Gnistan 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Polin Pallo 2
RiPS 5
LTU 0
Jazz Pori 3
OTP 1
VPS 2 8
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 2
GBK Kokkola 5
FC Kangasala 0
SalPa 2 2
Tampere Utd 3 0
TPV 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
NiemU 1
MyPa 0
Kyparamaki 0
HAPK 2
FC Kiisto Vaasa 0
OLS Oulu 2
SJK U21 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Honka 3 1
EBK 2
FC Kontu 0
Honka 9
Tuisku 0
Ekenas IF 6
Lasten 0
Inter Turku 4
VIFK 2
Jaro 3
HauPa 4
Kajaanin Haka 1
VJS 2 1
PuiU Helsinki 3
HIFK 3
Atlantis 2 2
Abo IFK 2
NoPS 0
MaPS 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
Harma 1
Tampere Utd 2 3
TP-T 0
VPS 5
1/32-finals
Gilla FC 0
Klubi 04 6
EsPa 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
LPS 0
Mariehamn 1
Ilves 2 1
TPS 3
PoPo 2
KuPS Akatemia 3
Lahden Reipas 0
Mikkelin 1
HJK -
TBD -
Kiffen 0
JaPS 6
JS Hercules 1
AC Oulu 5
VJS 2
NJS 0
HJS 2
SalPa 1
Poxyt 0
PK-35 3
SJK -
TBD -
Atlantis 2
KaPa 1
KPV Kokkola 2
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
Jippo 1
KTP 2
Huima / Urho 0
Haka 4
Union Plaani 2
Vaajakoski 0
JaPS 2 0
Gnistan 3
TBD -
Ilves -
RiPS 0
Jazz Pori 2
VPS 2 0
GBK Kokkola 1
SalPa 2 0
TPV 4
TBD -
KuPS -
NiemU 1
HAPK 2
OLS Oulu 4
SJK Akatemia 3
EBK 1
Honka 3
Ekenas IF 2
Inter Turku 1
Jaro 7
HauPa 0
PuiU Helsinki 0
HIFK 2
Abo IFK 4
Pallo-Iirot 6
Tampere Utd 2 1
VPS 2
1/16-finals
Klubi 04 8
EsPa 2
Mariehamn 3
TPS 2
KuPS Akatemia 1
Mikkelin 4
HJK 2
JaPS 1
AC Oulu 2
VJS 1
HJS 0
PK-35 1
SJK 3
Atlantis 2
KPV Kokkola 2
KTP 0
Haka 6
Union Plaani 0
Gnistan 3
Ilves 0
Jazz Pori 3
GBK Kokkola 2
TPV 0
KuPS 2
HAPK 1
OLS Oulu 4
Honka 0
Ekenas IF 1
Jaro 5
HIFK 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
VPS 5
1/8-finals
Klubi 04 4
Mariehamn 3
Mikkelin 0
HJK 1
AC Oulu 2
PK-35 1
SJK 7
KPV Kokkola 0
Haka 3
Gnistan 2
Jazz Pori 2
KuPS 6
OLS Oulu 0
Ekenas IF 1
Jaro 3
VPS 2
Quarter-finals
Klubi 04 0
HJK 4
AC Oulu 2
SJK 0
Haka 1
KuPS 2
Ekenas IF 2
Jaro 4
Semi-finals
HJK 1
AC Oulu 0
KuPS 2
Jaro 0
Final
HJK 1
KuPS 0