Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Sub
Okereke E. In: Auvinen E.
Out: Okereke E.
46'
46'
Sub
Vanhala V. In: Lepisto M.
Out: Vanhala V.
46'
46'
Sub
Hyvonen A. In: Pajuportti K.
Out: Hyvonen A.
AI Match Summary
Mariehamn in this Suomen Cup 2024 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LPS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mariehamn lately — more wins on the board than LPS.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Mariehamn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mariehamn, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Mariehamn have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
LPS Clean Sheet 20%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | LPS | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 25 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.67 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2025 Suomen Cup
LPS vs Mariehamn
0:1
May 9, 2024 Suomen Cup
LPS vs Mariehamn
0:5
Apr 10, 2011 Suomen Cup
LPS vs Mariehamn
0:8
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
LPS Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Mariehamn Compare
Top Goalscorer Andersson L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sallinen O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
LPS 32 / 100
Mariehamn 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
LPS Mariehamn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mariehamn conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.67 goals.
Attacking prowess: LPS scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Mariehamn has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mariehamn
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
LPS
(Home) 06 May
LPS
0 : 1 Mariehamn
15 Apr
LPS
2 : 1 Keski-Uusimaa
09 May
LPS
0 : 5 Mariehamn
24 Apr
LPS
4 : 0 EPS 2
26 Apr
LPS
1 : 3 JaPS
Page 1 of 6
06 May
LPS
0 : 1 Mariehamn
15 Apr
LPS
2 : 1 Keski-Uusimaa
09 May
LPS
0 : 5 Mariehamn
24 Apr
LPS
4 : 0 EPS 2
26 Apr
LPS
1 : 3 JaPS
Page 1 of 4
Mariehamn
(Away) 15 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0 SJK
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0 Mariehamn
01 Aug
TPS
3 : 0 Mariehamn
25 Jul
Mariehamn
1 : 1 AC Oulu
20 Jul
Mariehamn
0 : 2 Lahti
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0 Mariehamn
01 Aug
TPS
3 : 0 Mariehamn
11 Jul
Gnistan
4 : 2 Mariehamn
04 Jul
VPS
4 : 0 Mariehamn
18 Jun
AC Oulu
2 : 1 Mariehamn
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Millbrook 1
NJS III 5
Lahti/69 3
EIF Academy 1
FC Kiisto Vaasa 2
KPV Kokkola 5
OTP 0
Jaro 3
Atlantis 2 0
NJS 3
LePa 1
EPS 3
PK-37 2
Kultsu Joutseno 3
TBD -
Lahti -
EBK 4
FC Futura 2
FC Kirkkonummi 0
Keski-Uusimaa 4
Lahden Reipas 1
JJK Jyvaskyla 0
Jippo 0
Haka 2
EsPa 0
Honka 1
Atletico Malmi 0
PK-35 2
POHU/Hurjin 0
LoPa 6
PoPo 0
Poxyt 2 4
Simpeleen Urheilijat 0
KTP 21
MyPa 1
Vaajakoski 2
TPS 3 2
Ilves 2 3
TBD -
Inter Turku -
Tikka 0
PuiU Helsinki 2
FC Kontu 0
GrIFK 1
TuWe 0
MuSa 10
Fish United 1
TPV 3
Sporting Kristina 1
VIFK 5
SIF 0
SJK Akatemia 6
NoPS 2 1
VaKP 3
NoPS 1
Pallo-Iirot 3
VG-62 Naantali 1
Jazz Pori 3
KaaPo 0
TPS 4
Mikkelin 2 2
KeuPa 1
ViPa 0
Mikkelin 8
Ilves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Hercules 0
OLS Oulu 4
Rollon Pojat 0
SJK 8
Tove 2
Haka 2 3
Tampere Utd 0
FC Inter Turku 2 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
VPS -
Poxyt 0
VJS 2
VJS 2 1
Gnistan 8
Atlantis 6
EsPa 2 0
LAUTP 1
JaPS 2
Roi United 0
GBK Kokkola 4
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 1
AC Oulu 7
Polin Pallo 1
Toolon Taisto 5
POHU/KY 0
KaPa 7
Kiffen 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 1
Gnistan/M35 1
JaPS 2 5
MaPS 0
SalPa 2
Tampere Utd 2 0
Ekenas IF 11
NuPS 2 0
PPS/Old Stars 3
Finnkurd 1
Tuusulan Palloseura 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
Edustus IPS 0
MiPK 1
Kyparamaki 0
PEPO 3
KaPa 1924 5
KePS 0
JBK 2
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
LPS 4
EPS 2 0
RiPS 0
Mariehamn 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
1/32-finals
NJS III 2
Lahti/69 3
KPV Kokkola 4
Jaro 0
NJS 0
EPS 3
Kultsu Joutseno 0
Lahti 7
EBK 2
Keski-Uusimaa 0
Lahden Reipas 1
Haka 5
Honka 1
PK-35 2
LoPa 0
Poxyt 2 1
KTP 5
Vaajakoski 0
Ilves 2 0
Inter Turku 3
PuiU Helsinki 1
GrIFK 3
MuSa 2
TPV 0
VIFK 1
SJK Akatemia 2
VaKP 2
Pallo-Iirot 4
Jazz Pori 1
TPS 2
Mikkelin 2 0
Mikkelin 3
Ilves -
TBD -
OLS Oulu 1
SJK 2
Haka 2 0
FC Inter Turku 2 4
TBD -
VPS -
VJS 3
Gnistan 0
Atlantis 3
JaPS 1
GBK Kokkola 0
AC Oulu 3
Toolon Taisto 1
KaPa 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 2
JaPS 2 0
SalPa 2
Ekenas IF 3
PPS/Old Stars 0
Tuusulan Palloseura 6
TBD -
HJK -
MiPK 1
PEPO 4
KaPa 1924 0
JBK 1
LPS 0
Mariehamn 5
TBD -
KuPS -
1/16-finals
Lahti/69 0
KPV Kokkola 4
EPS 2
Lahti 3
EBK 1
Haka 5
PK-35 4
Poxyt 2 0
KTP 1
Inter Turku 5
GrIFK 3
MuSa 2
SJK Akatemia 2
Pallo-Iirot 1
TPS 1
Mikkelin 0
Ilves 2
SJK 4
FC Inter Turku 2 1
VPS 5
VJS 2
Atlantis 1
AC Oulu 5
KaPa 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 1
Ekenas IF 2
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
HJK 5
PEPO 1
JBK 0
Mariehamn 1
KuPS 3
1/8-finals
KPV Kokkola 2
Lahti 1
Haka 1
PK-35 0
Inter Turku 6
GrIFK 1
SJK Akatemia 0
TPS 3
SJK 5
VPS 1
VJS 0
AC Oulu 2
Ekenas IF 1
HJK 0
PEPO 1
KuPS 5
Quarter-finals
KPV Kokkola 1
Haka 2
Inter Turku 3
TPS 2
SJK 2
AC Oulu 0
Ekenas IF 0
KuPS 2
Semi-finals
Haka 1
Inter Turku 2
SJK 2
KuPS 3
Final
Inter Turku 1
KuPS 2
