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LSPA vs Jelgava

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Zihs V.
15' Event
Peilans M.
17' Event
Zihs V.

AI Match Summary

Jelgava in this Latvian Cup 2022 tie, finishing 0-11. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
LSPA
15%
Draws
46%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • LSPA haven't matched Jelgava's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Jelgava taking it.
  • Jelgava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jelgava, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
LSPA Clean Sheet 10%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LSPA Jelgava
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 0 7
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.22 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2022 Latvian Cup
LSPA vs Jelgava
0:11

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LSPA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jelgava Compare

Top Goalscorer Zihs V.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Peilans M.
4 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LSPA 14 / 100
Jelgava 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LSPA Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jelgava has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

LSPA scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

LSPA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LSPA VS Jelgava
1 Goals Scored 1.75
5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

LSPA

(Home)
30 May
LSPA
1 : 5
FK Smiltene
18 May
RSU
5 : 1
LSPA
22 Jun
LSPA
0 : 5
Riga Mariners
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0
Riga United
18 May
Sigulda
0 : 5
LSPA
Page 1 of 2

Jelgava

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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BFC Daugavpils -
Kengaroos 4
FK Varaklani 2
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Gauja -
FK Alberts -
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LSPA -
Beitar -
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Bebri -
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Jelgava -
DSVK Traktors 4
Kadaga/Ostas 3
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JFK Daugava -
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Alberts JDFS -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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JFC Viola 2
Sports United/Cesis 0
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Babites -
Valka -
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Gulbenes -
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Salaspils FK -
Upesciems -
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Dobele Allegro 3
Bauskas BJSS 0
Augsdaugavas 2
Ogre United 1
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
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Spartaks Jurmala -
AFA Olaine -
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Grobina -
Sigulda 3
FK Union 2
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Marupe -
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Liepaja -
Lielupe -
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FK Madona Kvarcs -
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Rezekne -
Skanste -
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Plavinas -
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Betsafe -
Priekuli -
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Riga United -
Aliance -
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FK Limbazi -
Jekabpils SC -
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Kekava-Auda -
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Dinamo Riga -
1/64-finals
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BFC Daugavpils -
Kengaroos 2
Gauja 1
FK Alberts 1
LSPA 4
Beitar 4
Bebri 1
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Jelgava -
DSVK Traktors 2
JFK Daugava 12
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Alberts JDFS -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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JFC Viola 4
Babites 3
Valka 0
Gulbenes 2
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Salaspils FK -
Upesciems 0
Dobele Allegro 3
Augsdaugavas 3
Fk Jurnieks Riga 2
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FK Metta -
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Tukums 2000 -
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Spartaks Jurmala -
AFA Olaine -
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Grobina -
Sigulda 0
Marupe 5
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Liepaja -
Lielupe 2
FK Madona Kvarcs 3
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Rezekne -
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Plavinas 0
Betsafe 1
Priekuli 4
Riga United 1
Aliance 1
FK Limbazi 4
Jekabpils SC 4
Kekava-Auda 2
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Dinamo Riga -
1/32-finals
Riga FC -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Kengaroos 0
LSPA 1
Beitar 1
Jelgava 8
JFK Daugava 2
Alberts JDFS 5
Saldus SS/Leevon 3
JFC Viola 0
Gulbenes 0
Salaspils FK 9
Dobele Allegro 0
Augsdaugavas 1
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FK Metta -
Super Nova -
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Tukums 2000 -
RFS -
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Spartaks Jurmala -
AFA Olaine 2
Grobina 8
Marupe 3
FK Smiltene 4
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FK Liepaja -
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
Rezekne 5
Skanste 1
Betsafe 0
Priekuli 1
FK Limbazi 4
Jekabpils SC 2
Dinamo Riga 1
1/16-finals
Riga FC -
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Valmiera -
FK Auda Riga -
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BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 0
Jelgava 11
Alberts JDFS 4
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Salaspils FK 2
Augsdaugavas 0
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FK Metta -
Super Nova -
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Tukums 2000 -
RFS -
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Spartaks Jurmala -
Grobina 2
FK Smiltene 0
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FK Liepaja -
Rezekne 1
Skanste 2
FK Limbazi 0
Jekabpils SC 2
1/8-finals
Riga FC 0
Valmiera 2
FK Auda Riga 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Jelgava 2
Alberts JDFS 1
Salaspils FK 0
FK Metta 13
Super Nova 0
Tukums 2000 2
RFS 4
Spartaks Jurmala 0
Grobina 2
FK Liepaja 1
Skanste 6
Jekabpils SC 1
Quarter-finals
Valmiera 0
FK Auda Riga 1
Jelgava 2
FK Metta 1
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 4
Grobina 2
Skanste 0
Semi-finals
FK Auda Riga 6
Jelgava 1
RFS 5
Grobina 0
Final
FK Auda Riga 1
RFS 0