Sport Picks

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Luanda Villa vs Mwatate United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Luanda Villa and Mwatate United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luanda Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Luanda Villa
15%
Draws
0%
Mwatate United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luanda Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luanda Villa come out ahead of Mwatate United on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Luanda Villa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Luanda Villa Clean Sheet 20%
Mwatate United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luanda Villa Mwatate United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 0.87 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Mwatate United
2:0
Dec 3, 2025 Super League
Mwatate United vs Luanda Villa
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Mwatate United
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 Super League
Mwatate United vs Luanda Villa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luanda Villa 85 / 100
Mwatate United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luanda Villa Mwatate United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luanda Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mwatate United has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Mwatate United lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Luanda Villa found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 0.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Luanda Villa VS Mwatate United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luanda Villa

(Home)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 6

Mwatate United

(Away)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3
3K FC
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2
Naivas FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1
Mombasa United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)