Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luarca vs Aviles Stadium

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
dos Santos Galdino M. E.
35' Event
Jimenez B.

AI Match Summary

Aviles Stadium in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aviles Stadium.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luarca
20%
Draws
40%
Aviles Stadium
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Luarca have won more games recently than Aviles Stadium.
  • Win probability leans Aviles Stadium's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Luarca Clean Sheet 24%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luarca Aviles Stadium
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 13
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.6
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Aviles Stadium
0:2
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Luarca
1:1
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Luarca
0:3
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Aviles Stadium
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luarca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Aviles Stadium Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Galdino M. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luarca 10 / 100
Aviles Stadium 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luarca Aviles Stadium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aviles Stadium Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luarca scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Aviles Stadium registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Aviles Stadium conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aviles Stadium
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luarca

(Home)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
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Aviles Stadium

(Away)
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanera
11 Aug
Club Siero
1 : 0
Aviles Stadium
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2
Llanera
03 May
Real Titanico
2 : 2
Aviles Stadium
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)