Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luarca vs Candas CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luarca in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Luarca
30%
Draws
62%
Candas CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Candas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Luarca have won more games recently than Candas CF.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Candas CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Luarca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Luarca Clean Sheet 16%
Candas CF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luarca Candas CF
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.18 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Candas CF
1:0
Sep 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Luarca
0:1
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Candas CF
1:0
Aug 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Luarca
1:2
Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Luarca
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luarca 10 / 100
Candas CF 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luarca Candas CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Candas CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luarca found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Candas CF conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Luarca remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luarca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luarca

(Home)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
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Candas CF

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
0 : 1
Candas CF
04 May
Candas CF
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
26 Apr
Universidad Oviedo
2 : 0
Candas CF
20 Apr
Candas CF
1 : 1
Andes CF
13 Apr
Real Aviles B
0 : 1
Candas CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)