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Luarca vs Cudillero

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 game between Luarca and Cudillero finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Luarca
15%
Draws
0%
Cudillero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cudillero haven't matched Luarca's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Luarca Clean Sheet 16%
Cudillero Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luarca Cudillero
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 18 30
Goals Scored 1.13 0.03
Goals Conceded 2 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Cudillero
0:0
Nov 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Luarca
3:1
Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Luarca
2:1
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Cudillero
1:1
May 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Cudillero
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luarca 31 / 100
Cudillero 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luarca Cudillero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cudillero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

Cudillero's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Luarca scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Luarca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luarca

(Home)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
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Cudillero

(Away)
17 May
Cudillero
0 : 2
Universidad Oviedo
10 May
Astur
2 : 0
Cudillero
03 May
Praviano
2 : 0
Cudillero
26 Apr
Cudillero
0 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Apr
Llanes
2 : 0
Cudillero
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lealtad 38 23 7 8 62:27 76
2 Langreo 38 23 7 8 62:28 76
3 Union Club Ceares 38 21 11 6 54:31 74
4 Praviano 38 21 9 8 57:36 72
5 Covadonga 38 20 11 7 70:35 71
6 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 67:38 64
7 Universidad Oviedo 38 19 7 12 52:30 64
8 Cudillero 38 19 6 13 59:51 63
9 L Entregu CF 38 17 8 13 48:39 59
10 Condal 38 14 13 11 47:34 55
11 Real Aviles B 38 13 10 15 51:55 49
12 Real Oviedo B 38 14 6 18 46:53 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 10 16 12 55:54 46
14 Atletico de Lugones 38 12 10 16 49:55 46
15 Lenense 38 10 8 20 29:54 38
16 Gijon Industrial 38 9 9 20 21:50 36
17 Andes CF 38 10 4 24 32:77 34
18 Candas CF 38 8 10 20 35:53 34
19 Luarca 38 6 10 22 23:66 28
20 Real Tapia 38 5 5 28 23:76 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)