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Luarca vs Praviano

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Sierra M.
61' Event
Rubio C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Luarca
15%
Draws
73%
Praviano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Praviano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Praviano lately — more wins on the board than Luarca.
  • Win probability leans Praviano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Luarca Clean Sheet 23%
Praviano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luarca Praviano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Praviano
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Luarca
4:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Luarca
1:1
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Praviano
1:1
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Praviano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Praviano Compare

Top Goalscorer Sierra M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luarca 10 / 100
Praviano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luarca Praviano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Praviano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luarca scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Praviano conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Praviano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Praviano
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luarca

(Home)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
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Praviano

(Away)
10 May
Praviano
1 : 2
L Entregu CF
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
25 Apr
Praviano
1 : 0
CD Mosconia
18 Apr
Union Club Ceares
3 : 2
Praviano
12 Apr
Praviano
0 : 1
Caudal Deportivo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)