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Lubumbashi Sport vs Saint-Luc

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lubumbashi Sport in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lubumbashi Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Lubumbashi Sport
30%
Draws
14%
Saint-Luc
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lubumbashi Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lubumbashi Sport lately — more wins on the board than Saint-Luc.
  • Model gives Lubumbashi Sport a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Luc Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lubumbashi Sport Saint-Luc
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Saint-Luc vs Lubumbashi Sport
0:0
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Saint-Luc
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lubumbashi Sport 76 / 100
Saint-Luc 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lubumbashi Sport Saint-Luc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lubumbashi Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Luc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Lubumbashi Sport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lubumbashi Sport scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lubumbashi Sport VS Saint-Luc
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lubumbashi Sport

(Home)
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1
US Panda
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
07 Mar
Simba
1 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

Saint-Luc

(Away)
11 Apr
Tanganyika
2 : 2
Saint-Luc
05 Apr
Don Bosco
3 : 1
Saint-Luc
02 Apr
Blessing
1 : 0
Saint-Luc
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Groupe Bazano
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)