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Lubumbashi Sport vs Sanga Balende - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lubumbashi Sport host Sanga Balende in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Lubumbashi Sport at 0.93 goals for, 0.93 against; Sanga Balende at 0.83 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Lubumbashi Sport slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Lubumbashi Sport. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lubumbashi Sport
20%
Draws
38%
Sanga Balende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lubumbashi Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Lubumbashi Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 19%
Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lubumbashi Sport Sanga Balende
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Sanga Balende
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Lubumbashi Sport
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Sanga Balende
1:1
Nov 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Lubumbashi Sport
1:0
Nov 29, 2023 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Sanga Balende
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lubumbashi Sport 31 / 100
Sanga Balende 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lubumbashi Sport Sanga Balende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lubumbashi Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanga Balende's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Lubumbashi Sport went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lubumbashi Sport scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lubumbashi Sport VS Sanga Balende
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lubumbashi Sport

(Home)
26 Oct
Blessing
2 : 1
Lubumbashi Sport
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1
US Panda
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

Sanga Balende

(Away)
26 Oct
Sanga Balende
1 : 1
Tanganyika
21 Oct
Manika
0 : 0
Sanga Balende
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Eloi Lupopo 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Simba 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 Tanganyika 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Blessing 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
5 Don Bosco 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
6 Sanga Balende 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
7 Malole 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
8 New Soger 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
9 Manika 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
10 Saint-Luc 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
11 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Lubumbashi Sport 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Butras 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anges Verts 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Etoile du Congo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Aigles du Congo 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 FC MK Etancheite 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
5 Celeste 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
6 Dauphins Noirs 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
7 Etoile de Kivu 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 FC Renaissance 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 AC Rangers 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
10 New Jack 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
11 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Novakin 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)