Sport Picks

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Lubumbashi Sport vs Sanga Balende

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Lubumbashi Sport and Sanga Balende finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lubumbashi Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lubumbashi Sport
28%
Draws
22%
Sanga Balende
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lubumbashi Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lubumbashi Sport come out ahead of Sanga Balende on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lubumbashi Sport's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 20%
Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lubumbashi Sport Sanga Balende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Sanga Balende
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Lubumbashi Sport
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Sanga Balende
1:1
Nov 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Lubumbashi Sport
1:0
Nov 29, 2023 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Sanga Balende
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lubumbashi Sport 49 / 100
Sanga Balende 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lubumbashi Sport Sanga Balende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanga Balende has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Lubumbashi Sport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lubumbashi Sport scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lubumbashi Sport VS Sanga Balende
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lubumbashi Sport

(Home)
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1
US Panda
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
07 Mar
Simba
1 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

Sanga Balende

(Away)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
22 Mar
Sanga Balende
0 : 2
Simba
14 Mar
New Soger
0 : 1
Sanga Balende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)