Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between Lubumbashi Sport and St Eloi Lupopo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Eloi Lupopo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and St Eloi Lupopo come out ahead of Lubumbashi Sport on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- St Eloi Lupopo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 16%
St Eloi Lupopo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lubumbashi Sport | St Eloi Lupopo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2026 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs Lubumbashi Sport
1:0
Nov 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs St Eloi Lupopo
1:2
Mar 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs St Eloi Lupopo
0:3
Nov 17, 2024 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs Lubumbashi Sport
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs St Eloi Lupopo
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lubumbashi Sport 30 / 100
St Eloi Lupopo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lubumbashi Sport St Eloi Lupopo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Lubumbashi Sport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Lubumbashi Sport scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
St Eloi Lupopo let in goals in 54% of their last 39 matches.
Scoring Trends
Lubumbashi Sport VS St Eloi Lupopo
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lubumbashi Sport
(Home) 02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2 Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1 US Panda
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1 Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2 Lubumbashi Sport
07 Mar
Simba
1 : 2 Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2 Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1 US Panda
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1 Tshikas
04 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1 Sanga Balende
01 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
0 : 2 Mazembe
Page 1 of 3
St Eloi Lupopo
(Away) 20 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 0 AS Vita Club
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1 Celeste
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
0 : 0 Don Bosco
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3 St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 8
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3 St Eloi Lupopo
03 Jun
Aigles du Congo
3 : 2 St Eloi Lupopo
25 May
AS Maniema
1 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
19 May
Don Bosco
1 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)