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Lucan Utd vs Bonagee - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lucan Utd host Bonagee in the National League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Lucan Utd have averaged 1.65 scored and 1.95 conceded recently, against Bonagee's 1.44 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Lucan Utd have won 1 to Bonagee's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.01 vs 1.96, favoring Lucan Utd. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Lucan Utd
30%
Draws
8%
Bonagee
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lucan Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lucan Utd lately — more wins on the board than Bonagee.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Lucan Utd taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Bonagee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucan Utd Bonagee
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 9 2
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.65 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.95 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.01 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League
Bonagee vs Lucan Utd
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucan Utd 83 / 100
Bonagee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucan Utd Bonagee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucan Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonagee let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Lucan Utd scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Lucan Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bonagee's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lucan Utd VS Bonagee
1.88 Goals Scored 1.43
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 71%
75% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucan Utd

(Home)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 4

Bonagee

(Away)
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Aug
Bonagee
0 : 4
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams