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Lucan Utd vs Mervue United

Ireland Ireland

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mervue United in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mervue United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lucan Utd
15%
Draws
34%
Mervue United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucan Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Lucan Utd haven't matched Mervue United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 19%
Mervue United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucan Utd Mervue United
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Lucan Utd vs Mervue United
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucan Utd 36 / 100
Mervue United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucan Utd Mervue United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mervue United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucan Utd scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Defensive concern: Mervue United conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Mervue United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lucan Utd VS Mervue United
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucan Utd

(Home)
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0
Lucan Utd
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2
University College Cork
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2
Lucan Utd
Page 1 of 4

Mervue United

(Away)
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
29 Aug
Mervue United
1 : 1
Cockhill
06 May
Longford
2 : 0
Mervue United
25 Oct
Longford
4 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mervue United 3 1 1 1 4:8 4
3 Lucan Utd 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Bonagee 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
5 Cockhill 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 TU Dublin 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
3 Letterkenny Rovers 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Mayo FC 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
5 St Francis 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 CK United FC 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
3 University College Cork 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
4 Killarney Celtic 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
5 Newbridge Town 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams