Sport Picks

Ireland

FAI Cup

University College Cork

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lucan Utd play University College Cork in the FAI Cup. Lucan Utd are favorites here. Recently, Lucan Utd averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. University College Cork averaged 1 goals scored and 2.82 conceded. In past meetings, Lucan Utd won 1, University College Cork won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Lucan Utd and 1.31 for University College Cork. This points to a Lucan Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%

Lucan Utd

15%

Draws

22%

University College Cork

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucan Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Lucan Utd picked up more points recently compared to University College Cork.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 18%

University College Cork Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lucan Utd	University College Cork
Matches Played	14	17
Wins	7	4
Draws	0	1
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	1.93	1
Goals Conceded	2.21	2.82
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 FAI Cup

Lucan Utd vs University College Cork

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucan Utd 60 / 100

University College Cork 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lucan Utd University College Cork

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucan Utd Win (1)

Secondary Pick Lucan Utd & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.82

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.7%

1.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lucan Utd attacking → ← attacking University College Cork

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucan Utd scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

University College Cork let in goals in 94% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Lucan Utd went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

University College Cork lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 13

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25