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Luckenwalde vs Eilenburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
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Match Events

30' Event
Niemitz M.
33' Event
Schneider F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Luckenwalde and Eilenburg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Luckenwalde
15%
Draws
65%
Eilenburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eilenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eilenburg come out ahead of Luckenwalde on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Eilenburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%
Eilenburg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luckenwalde Eilenburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 2.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Eilenburg
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Luckenwalde
0:2
Feb 7, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Eilenburg
0:2
Aug 21, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Luckenwalde
2:0
Jun 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Luckenwalde vs Eilenburg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luckenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Schneider F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55

Eilenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Niemitz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.36
Avg xA / game 1.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luckenwalde 10 / 100
Eilenburg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luckenwalde Eilenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eilenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eilenburg let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Luckenwalde's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Luckenwalde went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luckenwalde VS Eilenburg
0.75 Goals Scored 2.71
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Luckenwalde

(Home)
02 Oct
Luckenwalde
3 : 1
Magdeburg II
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
Babelsberg
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
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Eilenburg

(Away)
25 Sept
Auerbach
3 : 2
Eilenburg
20 Sept
Eilenburg
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
12 Sept
Eilenburg
3 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)