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Luckenwalde vs SV Tasmania Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Schneider F.
28' Event
Berko E.
33' Event
Cakmak T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

SV Tasmania Berlin in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SV Tasmania Berlin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Luckenwalde
15%
Draws
12%
SV Tasmania Berlin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luckenwalde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SV Tasmania Berlin lately — more wins on the board than Luckenwalde.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Luckenwalde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%
SV Tasmania Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luckenwalde SV Tasmania Berlin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs SV Tasmania Berlin
2:3
Jan 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Luckenwalde vs SV Tasmania Berlin
1:0
Nov 17, 2023 Club Friendly
Luckenwalde vs SV Tasmania Berlin
1:1
Feb 6, 2022 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs SV Tasmania Berlin
2:0
Aug 13, 2021 Regionalliga Nordost
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Luckenwalde
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luckenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Schneider F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pilger F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

SV Tasmania Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Berko E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yajima R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luckenwalde 83 / 100
SV Tasmania Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luckenwalde SV Tasmania Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luckenwalde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luckenwalde found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: SV Tasmania Berlin conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: SV Tasmania Berlin registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luckenwalde VS SV Tasmania Berlin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Luckenwalde

(Home)
09 Oct
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Luckenwalde
02 Oct
Luckenwalde
3 : 1
Magdeburg II
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
Babelsberg
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6

SV Tasmania Berlin

(Away)
09 Oct
Zwickau
2 : 0
SV Tasmania Berlin
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
10 Sept
BFC Dynamo
3 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 BFC Dynamo 12 7 3 2 21:12 24
4 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
5 Altglienicke 12 6 3 3 20:15 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Zwickau 12 5 3 4 15:17 18
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 12 2 3 7 13:20 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 Luckenwalde 12 2 0 10 12:29 6
18 SV Tasmania Berlin 12 1 2 9 13:38 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)