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Luckenwalde vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 12, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luckenwalde host VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal have shipped 2.33 goals a game lately, while Luckenwalde have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, Luckenwalde have won 3 to VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Luckenwalde
20%
Draws
58%
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luckenwalde come out ahead of VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Luckenwalde have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 20%
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luckenwalde VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2020 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Luckenwalde vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
0:0
Oct 5, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs Luckenwalde
1:5
Jun 9, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Luckenwalde vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
5:1
Dec 2, 2018 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs Luckenwalde
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luckenwalde 32 / 100
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luckenwalde VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal let in goals in 100% of their last 15 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Luckenwalde scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Luckenwalde went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luckenwalde VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luckenwalde

(Home)
02 Oct
Luckenwalde
3 : 1
Magdeburg II
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
Babelsberg
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
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VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

(Away)
14 Dec
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
4 : 0
Krieschow
06 Dec
Eilenburg
2 : 2
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
01 Dec
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
2 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
23 Nov
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
1 : 1
Jena II
09 Nov
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
2 : 3
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
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