Sport Picks
Match Events
89'
89'
Prasse L.
AI Match Summary
Zwickau in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zwickau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zwickau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Luckenwalde haven't matched Zwickau's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Zwickau's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Zwickau have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 11%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Luckenwalde | Zwickau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Luckenwalde
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Zwickau
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Luckenwalde
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Zwickau
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Luckenwalde
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Luckenwalde Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Zwickau Compare
Top Goalscorer Prasse L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Luckenwalde 10 / 100
Zwickau 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Luckenwalde Zwickau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zwickau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Luckenwalde scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Zwickau let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Zwickau's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Luckenwalde VS Zwickau
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Luckenwalde
(Home) 20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1 Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1 Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5 Erfurt
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Preussen
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5 Erfurt
08 Aug
Luckenwalde
2 : 3 SV Tasmania Berlin
24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
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Zwickau
(Away) 18 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 3 Hallescher
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2 Altglienicke
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2 Zwickau
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0 Babelsberg
26 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2 Zwickau
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2 Zwickau
26 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2 Zwickau
09 Aug
BFC Dynamo
0 : 0 Zwickau
04 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1 Zwickau
26 Jul
Jena
1 : 2 Zwickau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 65:30 | 72 |
| 2 | Jena | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 65:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Zwickau | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52:44 | 64 |
| 4 | Hallescher | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Erfurt | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 68:47 | 61 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:40 | 53 |
| 7 | Chemnitzer | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 56:52 | 51 |
| 8 | BFC Preussen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50:55 | 50 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 61:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Luckenwalde | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Babelsberg | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 67:65 | 41 |
| 12 | BFC Dynamo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45:50 | 40 |
| 13 | Chemie Leipzig | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 43:49 | 40 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 46:60 | 40 |
| 15 | Greifswalder FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:45 | 38 |
| 16 | Meuselwitz | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Eilenburg | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 35:68 | 23 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 30:79 | 14 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
