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Lucko vs Dragovoljac

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Knezevic F.

AI Match Summary

Dragovoljac in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dragovoljac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lucko
30%
Draws
39%
Dragovoljac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dragovoljac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Lucko have won more games recently than Dragovoljac.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lucko Clean Sheet 68%
Dragovoljac Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Dragovoljac
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Druga NL
Lucko vs Dragovoljac
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Druga NL
Dragovoljac vs Lucko
1:3
Apr 12, 2019 Prva NL
Dragovoljac vs Lucko
2:1
Jan 26, 2019 Club Friendly
Lucko vs Dragovoljac
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Prva NL
Lucko vs Dragovoljac
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucko Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Dragovoljac Compare

Top Goalscorer Knezevic F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 41 / 100
Dragovoljac 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Dragovoljac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dragovoljac conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lucko stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS Dragovoljac
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
30 May
Croatia Dakovo
1 : 2
Lucko
23 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Lucko
16 May
Lucko
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
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Dragovoljac

(Away)
01 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 4
NK Krka
22 Jul
Dragovoljac
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
30 May
Dragovoljac
2 : 0
Bjelovar
23 May
Segesta
3 : 1
Dragovoljac
15 May
Dragovoljac
0 : 0
Radnik Krizevci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
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