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Lucko vs Jarun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Gracin J.
90' Event
Bukovac I.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL game between Lucko and Jarun finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Lucko
35%
Draws
45%
Jarun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jarun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Jarun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jarun are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Druga NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lucko Clean Sheet 13%
Jarun Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Jarun
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Druga NL
Lucko vs Jarun
1:1
Apr 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Jarun
5:0
Sep 26, 2020 3. HNL Center
Jarun vs Lucko
2:0
Jan 30, 2019 Club Friendly
Lucko vs Jarun
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucko Compare

Top Goalscorer Gracin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Bukovac I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 14 / 100
Jarun 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Jarun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lucko scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Jarun let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lucko stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS Jarun
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
17 Oct
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 1
Lucko
10 Oct
Lucko
2 : 1
Trnje
03 Oct
Slavonija Pozega
2 : 0
Lucko
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
Page 1 of 6

Jarun

(Away)
17 Oct
Zapresic
2 : 2
Jarun
10 Oct
Jarun
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
26 Sept
Jarun
3 : 0
Grobnican
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uskok Klis 8 6 0 2 19:7 18
2 Bjelovar 9 5 2 2 21:12 17
3 Dugo Selo 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
4 Jarun 8 3 5 0 17:12 14
5 Trnje 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
6 Uljanik Pula 9 4 2 3 17:18 14
7 Slavonija Pozega 9 3 3 3 16:15 12
8 Solin 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
9 Zapresic 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
10 Zagora 9 2 5 2 21:20 11
11 Radnik Krizevci 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
12 Grobnican 9 3 2 4 12:18 11
13 Dragovoljac 9 3 1 5 9:16 10
14 Lucko 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
15 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
16 NK Koprivnica 9 1 2 6 10:23 5
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)