Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lucko vs Jarun

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Gracin J.
90' Event
Bukovac I.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL game between Lucko and Jarun finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lucko
35%
Draws
24%
Jarun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lucko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jarun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lucko are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Druga NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lucko Clean Sheet 19%
Jarun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Jarun
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Druga NL
Lucko vs Jarun
1:1
Apr 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Jarun
5:0
Sep 26, 2020 3. HNL Center
Jarun vs Lucko
2:0
Jan 30, 2019 Club Friendly
Lucko vs Jarun
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucko Compare

Top Goalscorer Gracin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Bukovac I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 40 / 100
Jarun 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Jarun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Lucko scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lucko stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS Jarun
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
30 May
Croatia Dakovo
1 : 2
Lucko
23 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Lucko
Page 1 of 6

Jarun

(Away)
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
25 Jul
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 1
Jarun
18 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
3 : 1
Jarun
30 May
Jarun
1 : 1
Cibalia
22 May
Karlovac
2 : 1
Jarun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trnje 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Lucko 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 NK Koprivnica 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
4 Dugo Selo 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Uskok Klis 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Uljanik Pula 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
7 Radnik Krizevci 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 NK Inker Zapresic 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Bjelovar 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
10 Grobnican 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
11 Jarun 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
12 Solin 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Slavonija Pozega 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
14 Zagora 2 0 1 1 7:9 1
15 Dragovoljac 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)