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Lucksta IF vs Boden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Nuur H.
67' Event
Tewelde S.
86' Event
Turay A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lucksta IF in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucksta IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lucksta IF
15%
Draws
28%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucksta IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lucksta IF at 1.87 per game, Boden at 1.3.
  • Win probability leans Lucksta IF's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 13%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucksta IF Boden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Lucksta IF
2:5
Aug 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
1:3
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Lucksta IF
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Lucksta IF
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuur H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tewelde S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Boden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucksta IF 48 / 100
Boden 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucksta IF Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucksta IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Boden has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Difficult form: Boden registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucksta IF VS Boden
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucksta IF

(Home)
17 Oct
Boden
2 : 5
Lucksta IF
11 Oct
Lucksta IF
2 : 1
Skelleftea
03 Oct
Lucksta IF
2 : 5
IFK Ostersund
27 Sept
Lucksta IF
1 : 2
Taftea IK
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

Boden

(Away)
17 Oct
Boden
2 : 5
Lucksta IF
10 Oct
Taftea IK
1 : 2
Boden
03 Oct
Gottne IF
4 : 2
Boden
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 14 11 0 3 38:13 56
2 IFK Lulea 14 9 1 4 25:19 53
3 Skelleftea 14 5 3 6 22:29 45
4 IFK Ostersund 14 7 3 4 35:22 41
5 Taftea IK 14 5 0 9 20:33 40
6 Gottne IF 14 4 2 8 26:28 37
7 Boden 14 5 2 7 19:32 34
8 Lucksta IF 14 4 1 9 23:32 31
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)