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Stadium Background

Lucksta IF vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Nuur H.
67' Event
Tewelde S.
86' Event
Turay A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lucksta IF in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucksta IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Lucksta IF
20%
Draws
36%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lucksta IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lucksta IF at 1.96 per game, Boden at 1.52.
  • Win probability leans Lucksta IF's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 12%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucksta IF Boden
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.96 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
1:3
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Lucksta IF
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Lucksta IF
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuur H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tewelde S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Boden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucksta IF 74 / 100
Boden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucksta IF Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Boden has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Lucksta IF has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lucksta IF VS Boden
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucksta IF

(Home)
08 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 0
Lucksta IF
01 Aug
Lucksta IF
3 : 0
Boden
28 Jun
Lucksta IF
3 : 0
Gottne IF
14 Jun
Lucksta IF
1 : 5
Umea FF
11 Jun
Kubikenborgs
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

Boden

(Away)
08 Aug
Boden
2 : 1
Taftea IK
01 Aug
Lucksta IF
3 : 0
Boden
27 Jun
Taftea IK
1 : 1
Boden
22 Jun
Boden
1 : 4
IFK Lulea
13 Jun
Boden
1 : 1
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 2 2 0 0 5:1 33
2 IFK Lulea 2 2 0 0 5:3 31
3 Taftea IK 2 1 0 1 4:3 28
4 Kubikenborgs 2 0 0 2 1:4 23
5 Gottne IF 2 0 0 2 1:4 23
6 Lucksta IF 2 1 0 1 3:3 21
7 IFK Ostersund 2 1 0 1 5:4 20
8 Boden 2 1 0 1 2:4 20
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)