Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lucon vs Athletico Marseille

France France

National 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Manset M.

AI Match Summary

Athletico Marseille in this National 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletico Marseille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Lucon
15%
Draws
76%
Athletico Marseille
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athletico Marseille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athletico Marseille lately — more wins on the board than Lucon.
  • Win probability leans Athletico Marseille's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Lucon Clean Sheet 10%
Athletico Marseille Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucon Athletico Marseille
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2016 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Athletico Marseille
0:1
Oct 2, 2015 Ligue 3
Athletico Marseille vs Lucon
1:2
Apr 17, 2015 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Athletico Marseille
3:1
Nov 21, 2014 Ligue 3
Athletico Marseille vs Lucon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Athletico Marseille Compare

Top Goalscorer Manset M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucon 10 / 100
Athletico Marseille 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucon Athletico Marseille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico Marseille Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucon's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Athletico Marseille conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Lucon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lucon VS Athletico Marseille
0 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 6

Athletico Marseille

(Away)
14 Feb
Athletico Marseille
0 : 1
Aubagne FC
07 Feb
Saint-Zacharie
0 : 1
Athletico Marseille
19 Jan
Athletico Marseille
0 : 2
Rennes
04 Jan
Athletico Marseille
2 : 1
Rodez
07 Dec
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Athletico Marseille
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 15 13 6 35:19 58
2 Orleans 34 14 14 6 50:37 56
3 Amiens SC 34 14 13 7 44:35 55
4 Athletico Marseille 34 15 9 10 50:43 54
5 Chateauroux 34 14 10 10 52:45 52
6 Dunkerque 34 12 11 11 42:42 47
7 Avranches 34 10 16 8 44:36 46
8 Boulogne 34 12 10 12 50:45 46
9 Chambly 34 11 11 12 46:40 44
10 Beziers 34 11 11 12 35:38 44
11 Lucon 34 11 11 12 45:50 44
12 Sedan 34 10 13 11 31:34 43
13 Borgo 34 10 13 11 29:33 43
14 Belfort 34 9 14 11 26:32 41
15 Les Herbiers 34 8 15 11 44:51 39
16 Colmar 34 10 9 15 39:46 37
17 Epinal 34 6 12 16 39:53 30
18 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 4 15 15 22:44 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)