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Lucon vs Aurillac

France France

CFA - Group C 2009/2010
Lucon Logo

Lucon

1 - 0
FT
Aurillac Logo

Aurillac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lucon in this CFA - Group C 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lucon
15%
Draws
73%
Aurillac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurillac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aurillac at 1.33 per game, Lucon at 1.3.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Aurillac taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lucon Clean Sheet 13%
Aurillac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucon Aurillac
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.3 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Lucon vs Aurillac
1:0
Jan 23, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Aurillac vs Lucon
2:1
May 2, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Aurillac vs Lucon
1:1
Dec 6, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Lucon vs Aurillac
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucon 14 / 100
Aurillac 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucon Aurillac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurillac has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Lucon scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Aurillac lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucon VS Aurillac
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 6

Aurillac

(Away)
07 Feb
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 2
Aurillac
06 Jan
Saint-Pryve
3 : 1
Aurillac
09 Dec
La Chapelle
0 : 1
Aurillac
17 Nov
Biars-Bretenoux
2 : 3
Aurillac
06 Dec
Cholet
3 : 0
Aurillac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niort 34 18 11 5 53:23 99
2 Moulins-Yzeure 34 16 10 8 39:29 92
3 Lucon 34 15 11 8 45:39 90
4 PSG II 34 13 15 6 37:28 88
5 Albi 34 14 12 8 42:40 88
6 Montlucon 34 14 10 10 45:36 86
7 Colomiers 34 13 9 12 33:29 82
8 Les Herbiers 34 12 13 9 48:44 82
9 Libourne 34 10 14 10 35:31 78
10 Le Mans II 34 10 14 10 42:35 78
11 Red Star 34 11 9 14 38:44 76
12 Pau 34 9 12 13 30:35 73
13 Aurillac 34 8 14 12 26:40 72
14 Fontenay 34 6 18 10 31:41 70
15 Genets 34 9 9 16 29:42 70
16 Bordeaux II 34 9 11 14 23:32 69
17 Balma 34 6 12 16 28:42 64
18 Toulouse Fontaines Club 34 6 10 18 25:39 62
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)