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Lucon vs Belfort

France France

National 2015/2016
Lucon Logo

Lucon

1 - 1
FT
Belfort Logo

Belfort

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ajorque L.
77' Event
Regnier T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2015/2016 game between Lucon and Belfort finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lucon
15%
Draws
73%
Belfort
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belfort

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belfort come out ahead of Lucon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Belfort a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lucon Clean Sheet 24%
Belfort Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucon Belfort
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2016 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Belfort
1:1
Nov 28, 2015 Ligue 3
Belfort vs Lucon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajorque L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Belfort Compare

Top Goalscorer Regnier T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucon 13 / 100
Belfort 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucon Belfort

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belfort Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucon scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Belfort has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Belfort has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Belfort
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 6

Belfort

(Away)
07 Aug
Belfort
0 : 5
Sochaux
26 Jul
Belfort
1 : 0
Sochaux
03 Jun
Wasquehal
2 : 6
Belfort
27 May
Belfort
0 : 1
Colmar
13 May
Epinal
1 : 0
Belfort
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 15 13 6 35:19 58
2 Orleans 34 14 14 6 50:37 56
3 Amiens SC 34 14 13 7 44:35 55
4 Athletico Marseille 34 15 9 10 50:43 54
5 Chateauroux 34 14 10 10 52:45 52
6 Dunkerque 34 12 11 11 42:42 47
7 Avranches 34 10 16 8 44:36 46
8 Boulogne 34 12 10 12 50:45 46
9 Chambly 34 11 11 12 46:40 44
10 Beziers 34 11 11 12 35:38 44
11 Lucon 34 11 11 12 45:50 44
12 Sedan 34 10 13 11 31:34 43
13 Borgo 34 10 13 11 29:33 43
14 Belfort 34 9 14 11 26:32 41
15 Les Herbiers 34 8 15 11 44:51 39
16 Colmar 34 10 9 15 39:46 37
17 Epinal 34 6 12 16 39:53 30
18 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 4 15 15 22:44 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)