Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lucon vs Orleans

France France

National 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gbelle G.
14' Event
Armand R.
16' Event
Armand R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2015/2016 game between Lucon and Orleans finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orleans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lucon
30%
Draws
47%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orleans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Orleans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Lucon Clean Sheet 23%
Orleans Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucon Orleans
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2016 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Orleans
1:5
Dec 18, 2015 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Lucon
1:1
May 9, 2014 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Orleans
2:2
Dec 20, 2013 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Lucon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gbelle G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Armand R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barreto M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucon 33 / 100
Orleans 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucon Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orleans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lucon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Orleans conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Orleans lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orleans
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
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Orleans

(Away)
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
29 Aug
Orleans
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 15 13 6 35:19 58
2 Orleans 34 14 14 6 50:37 56
3 Amiens SC 34 14 13 7 44:35 55
4 Athletico Marseille 34 15 9 10 50:43 54
5 Chateauroux 34 14 10 10 52:45 52
6 Dunkerque 34 12 11 11 42:42 47
7 Avranches 34 10 16 8 44:36 46
8 Boulogne 34 12 10 12 50:45 46
9 Chambly 34 11 11 12 46:40 44
10 Beziers 34 11 11 12 35:38 44
11 Lucon 34 11 11 12 45:50 44
12 Sedan 34 10 13 11 31:34 43
13 Borgo 34 10 13 11 29:33 43
14 Belfort 34 9 14 11 26:32 41
15 Les Herbiers 34 8 15 11 44:51 39
16 Colmar 34 10 9 15 39:46 37
17 Epinal 34 6 12 16 39:53 30
18 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 4 15 15 22:44 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)