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Ludogorets II vs Fratria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre, Razgrad
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Match Events

27'
Tsvetkov A.
36'
Ivanov R.
42'
Rumenov R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ludogorets II
35%
Draws
45%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fratria lately — more wins on the board than Ludogorets II.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Fratria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 16%
Fratria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets II Fratria
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.22 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Fratria
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Fratria
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Ludogorets II
5:0
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Ludogorets II vs Fratria
1:3
Mar 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Ludogorets II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Peshov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets II 28 / 100
Fratria 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets II Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Ludogorets II found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Fratria conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Ludogorets II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets II VS Fratria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets II

(Home)
03 Oct
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
Page 1 of 6

Fratria

(Away)
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)