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Ludogorets II vs Nesebar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets II host Nesebar in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Nesebar have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Ludogorets II have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Ludogorets II have won 2 to Nesebar's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.31) point toward Nesebar. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ludogorets II
6%
Draws
90%
Nesebar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nesebar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ludogorets II.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Nesebar.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 10%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets II Nesebar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 22
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.63 3.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Ludogorets II
2:2
Dec 3, 2018 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar
4:1
Jul 29, 2018 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Ludogorets II
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets II 10 / 100
Nesebar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets II Nesebar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets II scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Nesebar let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Ludogorets II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nesebar lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets II VS Nesebar
1.63 Goals Scored 3.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%