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Ludogorets II vs Nesebar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ludogorets II and Nesebar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ludogorets II
35%
Draws
40%
Nesebar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nesebar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ludogorets II's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 16%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets II Nesebar
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 20
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2.72
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Ludogorets II
2:2
Dec 3, 2018 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar
4:1
Jul 29, 2018 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Ludogorets II
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets II 41 / 100
Nesebar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets II Nesebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Ludogorets II's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ludogorets II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nesebar has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets II VS Nesebar
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets II

(Home)
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
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Nesebar

(Away)
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Nesebar
1 : 1
Yantra Gabrovo
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