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Ludogorets III vs Cherno More II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

Ludogorets III in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ludogorets III
20%
Draws
33%
Cherno More II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ludogorets III lately — more wins on the board than Cherno More II.
  • Model gives Ludogorets III a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 19%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III Cherno More II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 3.48 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Cherno More II
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Ludogorets III
2:4
Sep 10, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Cherno More II
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Cherno More II
0:1
Aug 30, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Ludogorets III
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 67 / 100
Cherno More II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III Cherno More II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ludogorets III scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Cherno More II conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Ludogorets III remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS Cherno More II
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets III

(Home)
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More II

(Away)
03 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Cherno More II
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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