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Ludogorets III vs Chernomorets Balchik

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Ludogorets III host Chernomorets Balchik in the Third League - North-East. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Chernomorets Balchik have shipped 0.13 goals a game lately, while Ludogorets III have conceded 0.63 and scored 3.88. Past meetings favor Chernomorets Balchik slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.94, favoring Chernomorets Balchik. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ludogorets III
11%
Draws
9%
Chernomorets Balchik
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Chernomorets Balchik has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ludogorets III.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Ludogorets III.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - North-East provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III Chernomorets Balchik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 23 26
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 1
Goals Scored 3.88 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:1
Sep 3, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III
1:0
May 3, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:1
May 14, 2023 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 74 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III Chernomorets Balchik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets III scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Chernomorets Balchik let in goals in 35% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ludogorets III went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chernomorets Balchik lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS Chernomorets Balchik
3.88 Goals Scored 3.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291