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Ludogorets III vs FK Riltzi

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Wed, Mar 18, 2026
3 - 0
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets III host FK Riltzi in the Third League - North-East. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FK Riltzi have shipped 3.63 goals a game lately, while Ludogorets III have conceded 0.63 and scored 3.75. Past meetings favor Ludogorets III slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (3.69 xG vs 0.81) point toward Ludogorets III. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ludogorets III
6%
Draws
4%
FK Riltzi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ludogorets III lately — more wins on the board than FK Riltzi.
  • Ludogorets III are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets III have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 20%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III FK Riltzi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 20
Goals Scored 3.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs FK Riltzi
3:0
Aug 20, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Ludogorets III
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs FK Riltzi
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Ludogorets III
1:1
May 1, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs FK Riltzi
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 85 / 100
FK Riltzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III FK Riltzi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets III scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

FK Riltzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Ludogorets III has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS FK Riltzi
3.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291