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Ludogorets III vs Septemvri Tervel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Ludogorets III and Septemvri Tervel finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ludogorets III
30%
Draws
37%
Septemvri Tervel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ludogorets III carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 16%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III Septemvri Tervel
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 22 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 3.32 2.69
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Septemvri Tervel
3:0
May 20, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Ludogorets III
0:1
Sep 24, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Septemvri Tervel
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Ludogorets III
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Septemvri Tervel
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 31 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III Septemvri Tervel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets III found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ludogorets III remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Tervel conceded in 46% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS Septemvri Tervel
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets III

(Home)
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Tervel

(Away)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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