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Ludogorets vs Etar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Salido Tajero A.
11' Event
Salido Tajero A.
13' Event
Borisov N.

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 7-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ludogorets
6%
Draws
4%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ludogorets have won more games recently than Etar.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 19%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets Etar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Etar
7:4
Nov 12, 2023 efbet League
Etar vs Ludogorets
0:4
Jul 22, 2023 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Etar
5:0
Mar 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Etar
5:1
Mar 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Etar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Salido Tajero A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Erick Marcus
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Borisov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsanev T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 85 / 100
Etar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets Etar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Ludogorets has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ludogorets's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS Etar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%