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Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Trdin G.
37'
Nachmias I.
38'
Mitkov A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ludogorets
20%
Draws
38%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Levski Sofia have won more games recently than Ludogorets.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 16%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets Levski Sofia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia
1:1
May 9, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets
0:1
Mar 5, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia
1:0
Feb 3, 2026 Super Cup
Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Levski Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Perea J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 41 / 100
Levski Sofia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Ludogorets stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Levski Sofia has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS Levski Sofia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets

(Home)
30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Ludogorets
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Ludogorets
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Teuta
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Levski Sofia

(Away)
29 Jul
Univ. Craiova
2 : 2
Levski Sofia
25 Jul
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
22 Jul
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
Univ. Craiova
17 Jul
Levski Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
14 Jul
Levski Sofia
4 : 0
Borac Banja Luka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levski Sofia36256571:2581
2CSKA 1948 Sofia36207954:3567
3Ludogorets361910761:2567
4CSKA Sofia36189947:3063
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