Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lugazi vs Buhimba

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 Lugazi FC Stadium, Najjembe
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Bagoole D.
45' Event
Kalanzi A.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Moro S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Lugazi and Buhimba finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugazi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lugazi
20%
Draws
0%
Buhimba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Lugazi's 0.54 goals per match outpaces what Buhimba have produced (0.53).
  • Model gives Lugazi a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Lugazi Clean Sheet 68%
Buhimba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugazi Buhimba
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 3
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 0.54 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Premier League
Buhimba vs Lugazi
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Lugazi vs Buhimba
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugazi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mungudit F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bagoole D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Buhimba Compare

Top Goalscorer Moro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugazi 95 / 100
Buhimba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugazi Buhimba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugazi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buhimba has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Buhimba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Lugazi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugazi VS Buhimba
0.5 Goals Scored 0.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugazi

(Home)
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
19 May
Express FC
0 : 0
Lugazi
12 May
BUL
0 : 0
Lugazi
06 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Mbarara City
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
Page 1 of 6

Buhimba

(Away)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
13 May
NEC FC
3 : 0
Buhimba
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)