Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lugo B vs CD AS Pontes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Lugo B and CD AS Pontes finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lugo B
35%
Draws
28%
CD AS Pontes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lugo B come out ahead of CD AS Pontes on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Lugo B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 20%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo B CD AS Pontes
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 14 10
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs CD AS Pontes
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Lugo B
2:1
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Lugo B
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs CD AS Pontes
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo B 67 / 100
CD AS Pontes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo B CD AS Pontes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD AS Pontes conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Lugo B found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (37 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Lugo B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lugo B VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo B

(Home)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
Page 1 of 8

CD AS Pontes

(Away)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 22 14 6 2 37:16 48
2 Lugo B 22 12 6 4 34:17 42
3 Somozas 22 12 5 5 41:21 41
4 Racing Club Villalbes 22 12 4 6 34:26 40
5 Deportivo Fabril 22 9 5 8 41:27 32
6 Silva SD 22 7 9 6 21:20 30
7 Arzua 22 7 8 7 32:23 29
8 Viveiro 22 8 4 10 25:39 28
9 Agrupacion Estudiantil 22 4 8 10 27:45 20
10 CD AS Pontes 22 4 7 11 18:40 19
11 Fisterra 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
12 Paiosaco 22 1 9 12 16:39 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arenteiro 22 13 8 1 33:13 47
2 Arosa SC 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Alondras 22 9 10 3 31:15 37
4 Estradense 22 8 7 7 35:34 31
5 CD Choco 22 8 7 7 28:22 31
6 Rapido de Bouzas 22 8 7 7 25:25 31
7 Barco 22 8 6 8 26:27 30
8 Ourense CF 22 8 4 10 33:29 28
9 Ribadumia 22 7 5 10 24:36 26
10 UD Ourense 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
11 Atios 22 4 8 10 18:32 20
12 Pontellas 22 1 6 15 12:38 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)