Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Lugo B

1 - 0

Compostela

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Dean M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Lugo B and Compostela finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Lugo B

11%

Draws

Compostela

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Lugo B haven't matched Compostela's recent run of results.
Lugo B are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%

Compostela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lugo B	Compostela
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	10	17
Draws	10	9
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.83	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.83	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Lugo B vs Compostela

1:0

Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Compostela vs Lugo B

3:2

Mar 5, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Compostela vs Lugo B

0:0

Oct 16, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Lugo B vs Compostela

2:1

Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Lugo B vs Compostela

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Dean M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.41

Avg xA / game 0.92

Compostela Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo B 86 / 100

Compostela 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lugo B Compostela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugo B found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Compostela has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Lugo B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lugo B VS Compostela

1.83 Goals Scored 1.63

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo B

(Home)

10 May

Racing Club Villalbes

2 : 1

Lugo B

03 May

Lugo B

5 : 1

Barbadas-Bentraces

26 Apr

Alondras

0 : 4

Lugo B

19 Apr

Viveiro

0 : 0

Lugo B

11 Apr

Lugo B

0 : 0

Gran Pena

Page 1 of 6

Compostela

(Away)

18 Jul

Compostela

0 : 4

Dep. A Coruna

21 Jun

CF Badalona

2 : 0

Compostela

14 Jun

Compostela

3 : 0

CF Badalona

07 Jun

Compostela

2 : 1

Atletico Arteixo

31 May

Atletico Arteixo

2 : 1

Compostela

Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arosa SC	34	20	10	4	58:35	70
2	Compostela	34	19	11	4	55:28	68
3	Atletico Arteixo	34	16	10	8	54:44	58
4	Estradense	34	14	11	9	46:33	53
5	Racing Club Villalbes	34	13	13	8	36:29	52
6	Gran Pena	34	13	12	9	57:42	51
7	Somozas	34	13	12	9	37:32	51
8	CD Boiro	34	13	12	9	45:29	51
9	Lugo B	34	12	12	10	41:35	48
10	Montaneros	34	12	12	10	48:42	48
11	Barco	34	13	7	14	35:41	46
12	Alondras	34	12	9	13	45:48	45
13	Celtiga	34	11	7	16	47:48	40
14	Viveiro	34	9	11	14	27:41	38
15	Silva SD	34	9	9	16	36:48	36
16	Cambados	34	4	14	16	24:43	26
17	Noia	34	6	7	21	28:57	25
18	Barbadas-Bentraces	34	4	7	23	25:69	19

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