Sport Picks

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Lugo B vs Compostela

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Dean M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Lugo B and Compostela finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lugo B
35%
Draws
25%
Compostela
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lugo B haven't matched Compostela's recent run of results.
  • Lugo B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%
Compostela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo B Compostela
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 13
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Compostela
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Lugo B
3:2
Mar 5, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Lugo B
0:0
Oct 16, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Compostela
2:1
Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Compostela
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Dean M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Compostela Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo B 95 / 100
Compostela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo B Compostela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugo B found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Compostela has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Lugo B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lugo B VS Compostela
3.33 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo B

(Home)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
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Compostela

(Away)
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2
Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)