Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Perez G. In: Moya P.
Out: Perez G.
46'
46'
Sub
Junior L. In: Sanchez B.
Out: Junior L.
49'
49'
Costa G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lugo lately — more wins on the board than Arenteiro.
- Lugo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lugo Clean Sheet 20%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lugo | Arenteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.05 | 0.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Arenteiro
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Lugo
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Lugo
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Arenteiro
1:1
May 5, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Lugo
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lugo 85 / 100
Arenteiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lugo Arenteiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lugo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Arenteiro conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Lugo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Lugo found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Lugo VS Arenteiro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 29%
38% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lugo
(Home) 20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2 Lugo
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 CD Coria
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
30 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 3 Lugo
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 CD Coria
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0 Ourense CF
15 Aug
Lugo
2 : 1 Coruxo FC
01 Aug
Lugo
2 : 0 Deportivo Fabril
25 Jul
Lugo
1 : 1 Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 4
Arenteiro
(Away) 20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0 Lalin
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1 Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Barco
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0 Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1 Arenteiro
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0 Arenteiro
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0 Arenteiro
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0 Arenteiro
12 Apr
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenteiro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
