Sport Picks
Lugo vs Deportivo Fabril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo 
AI Match Summary
Lugo host Deportivo Fabril in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Lugo at 1.18 goals for, 0.93 against; Deportivo Fabril at 1.62 for, 0.86 against. Past meetings favor Lugo slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.81) point toward Lugo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Deportivo Fabril carry the better recent record into this one.
- Lugo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lugo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lugo | Deportivo Fabril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Lugo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Lugo scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Deportivo Fabril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lugo
(Home)Deportivo Fabril
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 16 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereno | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Union | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo Fabril | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Leonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 13 | CD Extremadura | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | AD Merida | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Aviles | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:10 | 2 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:14 | 2 |
