Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lugo vs Zamora

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Jose Amo
28'
Marquez E.
32'
Perera A.

AI Match Summary

Zamora in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zamora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lugo
11%
Draws
9%
Zamora
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lugo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Zamora have won more games recently than Lugo.
  • Lugo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lugo Clean Sheet 68%
Zamora Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo Zamora
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Zamora
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Lugo
1:0
May 17, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Zamora
2:0
Nov 22, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Lugo
2:0
Mar 28, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Zamora
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Losada M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo 86 / 100
Zamora 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo Zamora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lugo scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Zamora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Lugo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lugo VS Zamora
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo

(Home)
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Celta Vigo B
0 : 1
Lugo
10 May
Lugo
1 : 3
Zamora
03 May
AD Merida
0 : 2
Lugo
25 Apr
Barakaldo
3 : 0
Lugo
Page 1 of 6

Zamora

(Away)
19 Jun
Sabadell
4 : 0
Zamora
13 Jun
Zamora
1 : 0
Sabadell
07 Jun
Zamora
2 : 0
Villarreal B
31 May
Villarreal B
2 : 0
Zamora
23 May
Arenas Getxo
1 : 0
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)